Leaving No Farmer Behind: Towards a More Inclusive and Sustainable Farm Input Subsidy Program (FISP) for Malawi
Centre for Agricultural Research and Development
• Universal input subsidies are fiscally unsustainable and economically inefficient, often leading to smuggling, leakages, and elite capture by wealthier farmers. • Climate shocks and the absence...
Establishing Predictable Agricultural Trade Policies in Malawi through Market-led Governance
Innocent Pangapanga-Phiri, Christon Nyondo, Tinashe Kapuya, Moses Chitete, Wongani Chirwa, Patrick Chimseu, Horace Phiri, Joseph Kanyamuka, Thabbie Chilongo, Tim Njagi, Antony Chapoto, Tiyanjane Clara Kasakula, Diana Salonga, and Levison Chiwaula
Malawi presents a case for agricultural trade policy reform. The central argument is that Malawi’s agricultural sector has significant potential to support growth, foreign exchange generation, foo...
AHEAD OF THE STORM: PREPARING MALAWI’S ECONOMY FOR THE 2026/27 EL NIÑO AND MACROECONOMIC INSTABILITY
Innocent PANGAPANGA-PHIRI, Julius NGOMA, Elizabeth NAMAONA, Mayamiko KAKWERA, Lameck FIWA, and Abel CHIWATAKWENDA
KEY MESSAGES • A severe “2026/27 El Niño build-up” could reduce Malawi’s GDP by over 6.0% (in output value), cut household consumption by 7.04%, weaken exports by 6.71%, and disrupt trade, t...
Maximizing Tobacco Farmers’ Returns in Malawi Under Declining Global Demand: Evidence-Based Policy Insights for Pricing, Contracts, and Market Governance
Innocent PANGAPANGA-PHIRI, Moses CHITETE, Lathiff SESAY, and Derrick KAPOLO
KEY MESSAGES • Malawi’s tobacco sector is facing a severe cost-price squeeze, driven by declining global demand, oversupply, rising input costs, and a concentrated oligopolistic buyer landscape,...
Economy-Wide Impacts of International Trade and Climate Shocks: Insights for Malawi
Innocent PANGAPANGA-PHIRI and Joyce MINOFU
Abstract This study investigates the systemic impacts of international trade and climate shocks on food security and macroeconomic stability in Malawi. Utilizing a static Computable General Equilibri...
TOWARDS PREDICTABLE AGRICULTURAL TRADE POLICIES IN MALAWI: EVOLUTION, CHALLENGES, MACROECONOMICS EFFECTS, AND REFORM OPTIONS
Innocent PANGAPANGA-PHIRI1#, Moses CHITETE1, Joseph KANYAMUKA1, Patrick KAWAYE1, Wongani CHIRWA1, and Thabbie CHILONGO1
Key Message • Malawi’s agricultural trade is hindered by frequent, ad hoc export bans and import restrictions, which prioritize short-term interests over long-term market stability. • The unp...